| | Defence Battleground | Target Battleground | ||
| Number | Name | Majority (seats) | Name | Seats to GAIN |
| 1 | West Somerset | 1 | Eden | Ind 1 |
| 2 | Epsom and Ewell | 12 | Richmondshire | Ind 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 12 | Castle Point | Ind 5 |
| 4 | Boston | 12 | Ashfield | Ind 5 |
| 5 | | | Torridge | Ind 6 |
| 6 | | | West Devon | Ind 6 |
| 7 | | | Norwich | Greens 6 |
| 8 | | | Mid Devon | Ind 7 |
| 9 | | | Craven | Ind 8 |
| 10 | | | South Holland | Ind 8 |
| 11 | | | North Kesteven | Ind 8 |
| 12 | | | Fylde | Ind 8 |
As you can see it is mostly the Independents who hope to do well (perhaps from a sense of "a plague on all your houses") but I would like to pay particular attention to two councils. First, Epsom and Ewell in Surrey. It may elect a Conservative MP, it may rank up huge Conservative votes in the Euros, but the local council is controlled by the Ratepayers Association (who some people call the orginal Independents". Will they be able to hold on? The other council to note is Norwich where the Greens will be challenging to take control of their first ever council. In the Norwich constituencies (that cover the city council boundaries) the voting was: Con 31% Lab 30% Lib Dem 24% Green 9% UKIP 3% BNP 2%. Will dissatification with the coalition government give the Greens the boost they need to pick up the six gains needed to win? We have less than 24 hours to find out.
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