United Kingdom Election Forecast 2011 : Scotland

Tom has offered his opinion on the elections being held today, therefore I would like to offer my opinions as well (based on the polls during the campaign and my own personal opinion)

Scotland


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Name of seat	2007	2011	Status
Aberdeen Central	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Aberdeen South and Kincardine North	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Aberdeen, Donside	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Aberdeenshire East	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Aberdeenshire West	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Airdrie and Shotts	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Almond Valley	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Angus North and Mearns	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Angus South	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Argyll and Bute	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Ayr	Con	SNP	GAIN
Banffshire and Buchan Coast	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Clackmannanshire and Dunblane	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Clydebank and Milngavie	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Clydesdale	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Coatbridge and Chryston	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Cowdenbeath	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Cumbernauld and Kilsyth	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Cunninghame North	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Cunninghame South	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Dumbarton	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Dumfriesshire	Con	Lab	GAIN
Dundee City East	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Dundee City West	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Dunfermline	Lib Dem	Lab	GAIN
East Kilbride	Lab	Lab	HOLD
East Lothian	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Eastwood	Con	Lab	GAIN
Edinburgh Central	Lib Dem	Lab	GAIN
Edinburgh Eastern	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Edinburgh Southern	Lib Dem	Lab	GAIN
Edinburgh Western	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Edinburgh, Pentlands	Con	SNP	GAIN
Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire	Con	Con	HOLD
Falkirk East	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Falkirk West	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Fife Mid and Glenrothes	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Fife North East	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Galloway and Dumfries West	Con	SNP	GAIN
Glasgow, Anniesland	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Cathcart	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Kelvin	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Maryhill and Springburn	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Pollock	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Provan	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Shettleston	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Glasgow, Southside	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Greenock and Inverclyde	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Inverness and Nairn	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Kirkcaldy	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Linlithgow	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Midlothian North and Musselburgh	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Moray	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Motherwell and Wishaw	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Orkney Islands	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	HOLD
Paisley	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Perthshire North	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Perthshire South and Kinrossshire	SNP	SNP	HOLD
Renfrewshire North and West	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Renfrewshire South	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Rutherglen	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Shetland Islands	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	HOLD
Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch	Lib Dem	SNP	GAIN
Stirling	Lab	SNP	GAIN
Strathkelvin and Bearsden	Lab	Lab	HOLD
Uddingston and Bellshill	Lab	Lab	HOLD

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Region	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	SNP	Green	Others
Central	1	1		5
Glasgow	1			5	1
Highlands	2	3		1	1
Lothians	2	2	1		2
Mid and Fife	2	2	1	1	1
North East	2	4	1
South	2	3	1	1
West	2			5
Constituencies	1 (-5)	33 (-2)	2 (-9)	37 (+16)	0 (n/c)	0 (n/c)
Regionals	14 (+1)	15 (+5)	4 (-2)	18 (-7)	5 (+4)	0 (-1)
Overall	15 (-4)	48 (+3)	6 (-11)	55 (+9)	5 (+4)	0 (-1)

My feelings are that Alex Salmond will remain as First Minister of Scotland by entering into a formal coalition with the Greens and seeking Liberal Democrat support on budgets. Whether this will lead to another independence referendum during this term remains to be seen.